Why Eskom’s electricity demand forecasts are wrong – again

Eskom gave input into the Departments of Energy IRP2010 (Integrated Resource Plan) – some would say they wrote it on behalf of the Department.  One of the key factors in planning electricity generation capacity is knowing what the demand will be.  Currently, the electricity demand peaks at just under 40 000MW.  Eskom projected than by 2030, the demand would be about 85 000MW, or about 4% compounded demand growth, every year. Continue reading

Evacuations and after effects of the Fukushima nuclear disaster

It is not unusual for those who favour nuclear power to downplay the effects of nuclear disasters that have happened.  In the article “Nuclear power is a key part of SA’s future”, attributed to the South African Minister of Energy Dipuo Peters, I came across this example: ‘The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) mission to Fukushima at the end of May 2011 concluded that “to date no confirmed long-term health effects to any person have been reported as a result of radiation exposure from the nuclear accident”‘. Continue reading

Top COP or Flop COP?

And finally, its over.  Negotiations carried on until 3.30am this morning, and ended with the ‘Durban Deal’.  It has three main features.

The Three Part Deal – KP, GCF, and … something

Firstly, the Kyoto Protocol (KP) will be extended in its current form for five years.  Civil society is divided on whether this is a flop or ‘top’.  Continue reading